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COV:EURONEXT PARISCovivio SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-06 - not real-time

$34.08

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Covestro AG trades at $34.08, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 2.3%. With RSI at 47.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $34.02 as support and $35.61 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look overvalued at 47.6 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 29.9%, a beta of 0.01 and a maximum drawdown of 8.1%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on sell — conviction 5 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 34.42
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 34.42
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • P/E ratio of 47.6

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Negative profit margin of -2.4%
  • Negative return on equity of -4.4%
  • Revenue contracting at -0.4%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.40%
Profit Margin-2.38%
P/E Ratio47.6
ROE-4.44%
ROA0.29%
Debt/Equity38.50
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$913.0M
Free Cash Flow$286.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.5
Support$34.02
Resistance$35.61
MA 20$34.63
MA 50$34.06
MA 200$34.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Valuation

Fair Value$4.20
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility29.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.